KUALA LUMPUR, 23 July (Voice of Malaysia): Malaysia’s solid financial fundamentals, resilient market structures, and flexible policy frameworks continue to position the country as one of the most stable economies in the region amid heightened global economic uncertainty, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
In its latest 2025 External Sector Report, released Monday in Washington, the IMF commended Malaysia for its ability to absorb external shocks and manage capital outflows effectively, underpinned by a strong balance sheet and prudent macroeconomic management.
“Malaysia’s financial strength and market flexibility support resilience against external shocks and capital outflows,” the IMF stated, adding that the country is well-placed to navigate ongoing global financial volatility with minimal disruption.
Malaysia’s Net International Investment Position (NIIP)—which reflects the difference between external financial assets and liabilities—has averaged 2.6% of GDP over the past decade, rising to 5.4% at the end of 2023 on the back of strong current account surpluses during the COVID-19 pandemic.
However, the NIIP dipped to -0.6% of GDP by end-2024, largely due to a rise in direct and portfolio investment liabilities. Total external debt rose marginally to 69.7% of GDP in 2024 from 68% in 2023 but remains manageable, the IMF noted.
Notably, one-third of Malaysia’s external debt is ringgit-denominated, reducing vulnerability to currency fluctuations. Additionally, short-term external debt—comprising 42.8% of the total—is primarily made up of stable intra-group borrowings and trade credits backed by export receipts, further mitigating rollover risks.
Malaysia’s external position in 2024 was assessed to be moderately stronger than what would be expected based on medium-term fundamentals and policy settings. While the current account surplus narrowed slightly due to rising imports of intermediate and capital goods, the IMF attributed this to a rebound in the global semiconductor cycle, which has begun to lift exports.
Over the medium term, the current account surplus is expected to improve modestly, driven by continued recovery in the tourism sector and a stronger services trade balance.
To strengthen its external position further, the IMF recommends that Malaysia maintain exchange rate flexibility to support market-driven adjustments. It also advised the government to enhance social safety nets and public healthcare systems, potentially by reallocating fiscal expenditures. These steps could reduce the need for precautionary household savings and encourage greater private consumption.
Malaysia is among 30 major economies assessed in the IMF’s annual external sector review, which provides a comprehensive evaluation of each country’s foreign sector vulnerabilities and strengths. The assessments contribute to the IMF’s broader mission of promoting balanced global trade, financial stability, and economic cooperation.
“Malaysia’s external fundamentals remain sound, and policy buffers remain adequate,” the report concludes, while encouraging policymakers to continue advancing structural reforms and social protections to bolster long-term growth resilience.